Russell Wilson Player Props – Monday Night Football Week 1

Russell Wilson’s Denver career begins with a Week 1 matchup against his former squad. While the Broncos might not need a vintage game from him, we still expect him to be solid – as our MNF spotlight picks collapse.

The Denver Broncos will visit the Seattle Seahawks for Monday night’s opening game of the 2022 season, or as some have called it, Russell Wilson’s “Revenge” game.

After 10 seasons in Seattle, Wilson has moved on to the Mile High City. Whether it was because the Emerald City squad didn’t offer him enough green or he just needed a change of scenery, Wilson is now favored to beat Pete Carroll and his squad before the “12th Man” at Lumen Field.

Oddsmakers, of course, offer a lot of prop plays involving Wilson in this game and we’ve taken a good look at each of them. Here are our three favorite Russell Wilson props for Monday September 12th.

Russell Wilson MNF prop picks

Click on each selection to jump to the full analysis.

Russell Wilson MNF Props

No INTs the smart game

Even when Russell Wilson was behind one of the NFL’s worst offensive lines, he was still careful with football. Now that he’s playing with a Broncos O-line ranked 16th by Pro Football Focus, he’ll have an even easier time avoiding an interception — unlike the Seahawks’ 32nd-ranked unit.

Wilson threw just six picks from 400 attempts in 2021, for a 1.5% interception rate. In nine of his 14 starts last season, Wilson did not throw a single INT.

Seattle was 23rd in the NFL in interceptions last season, beating the opposing quarterback just 11 times. Four of those 11 picks were recorded by players who are no longer on the team, namely DJ Reed, Ugo Amadi and Bobby Wagner.

The odds on this prop might not be very attractive, but it still looks like good value for money. It would also be a great addition to any parlay.

support: Less than 0.5 interceptions (-165)

Wilson scores two touchdowns

Wilson was occasionally handcuffed by Carroll’s play-calling with the Seahawks, but still found a way to be a touchdown throwing machine. “DangerRuss” threw for at least two touchdowns in six of his last seven games in Seattle last season.

The 2021 campaign was considered a poor year for the former third-round pick, but his 6.3% touchdown rate ranked fourth in the NFL among qualified passers. Wilson was second in the same category in 2020 with a 7.2% touchdown rate, trailing only league MVP Aaron Rodgers (9.1%).

The season-ending training camp injury sustained by wide receiver Tim Patrick takes some of the strength out of Denver’s attack, but Wilson should ensure that Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy reach their full potential after a couple of seasons with some underperformers Losses in the woods have spent quarterback play.

Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon III both serve as pass-catching threats from the backfield when the tandem came together for five TDs a year ago.

support: Over 1.5 pass touchdowns (-125)

Russ will not be happy

One might be tempted to think Wilson will air it early and often to annoy Carroll on Monday night, but the smart play is to back the under in the pass attempt market.

The Seahawks appear to be overwhelmed on both sides of the ball, as their defense ranked 28th in yards allowed last year (379.1) per game while Denver’s was eighth (326.1). Quarterback competition is far from fair as Wilson wages war on Geno Smith, who has not held a starting job since 2014.

Smith has an alarmingly high 3.7% career catch rate, so there’s a chance the Broncos’ defense could help turn this game into a laugh. If that’s the case, then Wilson can take his foot off the accelerator and let Williams and Gordon do the work in the second half.

This bet would be playable up to 31.5 attempts to pass.

support: Under 33.5 pass attempts (+100)

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