Broncos vs. Chargers Predictions: Odds, Overall, Player Props, Trends, Streaming for ‘Monday Night Football’

The Los Angeles Chargers and Denver Broncos will put the finishing touches on Week 6 in the NFL when these AFC West rivals head to SoFi Stadium for Monday Night Football. LA goes 3-2 this season in this matchup that has included back-to-back road winds for the past two weeks. Meanwhile, the Broncos lost back-to-back Week 6 and largely underperformed expectations in the first quarter of the year. These teams were also on opposite ends of the spectrum when looking at their records versus the spread. LA is 4-1 ATS while Denver sits at 1-4.

Here we will be looking specifically at the different betting angles this game has to offer. Along with the spread and totals, we’ll also take a look at some players’ props and offer our picks on how we think this showdown will play out.

All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook.

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Date: Monday 17 Oct | Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Location: SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, California)
TV: ESPN | Electricity: fuboTV (try for free)
Consequences: CBS Sports App
Opportunities: Chargers -4.5, O/U 45.5

line movement

That game’s first line, which came out in the spring, had the Chargers as field goal favorites. That climbed to -4 looking ahead and moved as far as Charger’s -6.5 before leveling back down to -4.5 Monday morning.

The selection: Chargers -4.5. Los Angeles has the better quarterback and defense right now, so you won’t see me fading them at this point. LA started the year 4-1 ATS and offense was fine in the absence of Kennan Allen, especially with strong play from Austin Ekeler and Mike Williams. In the meantime, we don’t know what Russell Wilson will look like after receiving an injection in his throwing shoulder after Denver’s Week 5 matchup against the Colts. The Broncos’ offense was terrible early in the season and shows no real signs of recovery, so laying the 4.5 points here feels safe.

key trend: Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last five away games

Over/Under total

The total debuted at 47 and rose just half a point on the outlook to 47.5, but has since fallen quite sharply. After week 5, that number dropped two points and now stands at 45.5.

The selection: Under 45.5. Denver is averaging just 15 points per game this season. They’ve only surpassed the 20-point mark once, scoring 16 points or fewer in four of their five games played. With a wacky Wilson, it’s hard to imagine them improving much here. Meanwhile, the Broncos’ defense has been great at keeping opponents out of the end zone, allowing just 16 points per game this season. It will be a difficult task to take down Justin Herbert, but that combination of Denver’s poor offense and strong defense should do wonders to keep that total under the 45.5 threshold.

key trend: Under is 8-1 in their last nine matches in Los Angeles.

Russell Wilson props

• Passing touchdowns: 1.5 (above +129, below -179)
• Passing yards: 223.5 (above -119, below -115)
• Frenzied courtyards: 13.5 (above -121, below -113)
• pass attempts: 32.5 (above -111, below -123)
• Longest passport completion: 37.5 (above -121, below -113)
• completions: 19.5 (above -117, below -117)
• Interruptions: 0.5 (above -142, below +104)

Wilson has started to let the ball run a little more in recent weeks. He’s averaged 4.7 tries per game over the past three weeks and has surpassed his current on-game rushing total across all of those competitions. With his shoulder injury potentially limiting his ability to pass the ball, it’s possible he’ll rely even more on his legs to move the chains. The Chargers have six interceptions in five weeks in Week 6, so taking on Wilson coughing up the ball isn’t the worst way to play off your props Monday night either.

Justin Herbert Props

• Passing touchdowns: 1.5 (above -189, below +136)
• Passing yards: 266.5 (above -123, below -111)
• Frenzied courtyards: 9.5 (above -115, below -119)
• pass attempts: 35.5 (above -117, below -117)
• Longest passport completion: 36.5 (above -117, below -117)
• completions: 23.5 (above -133, below -103)
• Interruptions: 0.5 (above -103, below -133)

Given that we like the under for this game, Herbert Under 1.5 pass touchdowns at +136 has some value. He has thrown for a touchdown twice this season, both in the last three weeks. The Broncos secondary have only allowed three passing touchdowns all season, so this is a pretty strong group. Austin Ekeler could also be a vulture in this aspect of his game as he has had three quick touchdowns in the last two games. Despite a difficult secondary, Herbert’s completion prop feels a bit low at 23.5. The only time he hasn’t exceeded that number this season was in Cleveland last week.

Player Props to Consider

Austin Ekeler Total Receptions: Over 4.5 (+114). With Kennan Allen doubtful for this game, Ekeler will get even more of Herbert’s target share. He’s gone through that contraceptive three times this season, hitting 93.9% of his targets and averaging 6.6 goals per game. Having this at plus money is a fun ticket to hold until Monday night.

Melvin Gordon Total Receiving Yards: Over 14.5 (-117). Gordon was a reliable option when he had a chance in the passing game. So far this season he has clinched 11 of his 13 goals and is averaging about nine yards per reception. He’s gone over that receiving yards prop in two of the last three weeks, and it’s low enough that we might just need a look for Wilson to go over it.